World Energy Outlook 2019

Publication Date

Page Number

790

Link to Report

Download

Download

Authors

The “gold standard” of long-term energy analysis: the annual report of the International Energy Agency, an independent arm of the OECD in Paris.  The report describes global energy trends, energy and the Sustainable Development Goals, and scenarios for oil, natural gas, coal, energy efficiency, renewables, and growing dependence on electricity.

Scenarios:

  • The Current Policies Scenario (CPS) projects a steady annual increase in energy demand of 1.3%  till 2040, and leads to increasing strains on almost all aspects of energy security.
  • The Stated Policies Scenario (STEPS) aims to provide a detailed sense of the direction in which existing policy frameworks and today’s policy ambitions would take the energy sector out to 2040. The share of renewables in the power mix rises from 25% today to around 40% in 2040. This scenario falls short of the Paris Agreement and the SDG’s.
  • The Sustainable Development Scenario (SDS) “sets out an ambitious and pragmatic vision of how the global energy sector can evolve in order to achieve critical energy-related SDGs. It starts with the SDG outcomes and then works back to set out what would be needed to deliver these goals in a realistic and cost-effective way.” This scenario aims to limit global temperature increases “to below 1.8 °C with a 66% probability without reliance on global net-negative CO2 emissions; this is equivalent to limiting the temperature rise to 1.65 °C with a 50% probability.” Assumes a reduction of global COemissions from 33 billion tonnes in 2018 to less than 10 billion tonnes by 2050 to net zero by 2070.

Share and follow us via:

Recent Articles:

  • Our world is in the midst of multiple crises, aggravated by the COVID-19 pandemic and the war in Ukraine.  This includes a crisis in education and learning, notably at K-12…

  • A Texas A&M University-affiliated research group addressing the complexity of global risks and changes affecting the water, energy, and food sectors. The group’s approach addresses the various stakeholders affected by…

  • Reporting on a Fragile World     Widely appreciated, high-quality, evidence-based information and advocacy is needed to advance the UN’s 17 Sustainable Development Goals–especially in light of the dual global setbacks…